Ripple and BCG predict $18.9 trillion tokenised market by 2033

Category: Blockchain Crypto Ripple and BCG predict $18.9 trillion tokenised market by 2033

Traditional banking systems have operated on decades-old infrastructure, slow-moving processes, and limited accessibility. However, a change is here; according to a report by Ripple and the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), the move towards a tokenised economy is no longer a distant possibility but a rapidly approaching reality. The tokenised economy is not an experimental trend; it’s becoming a foundational reality.

Tokenisation is more than slapping a digital label on assets. It’s a full-scale reimagination of financial systems. Think of it as tearing down an old bridge and rebuilding it with innovative, self-adjusting materials that can flex, expand, and evolve as traffic grows—the world where financial assets are programmable, interoperable, and accessible 24/7, 365 days a year.

Understanding the tokenised economy

Ripple, known for its work in blockchain-based payments, partnered with Boston Consulting Group (BCG), a global leader in market intelligence, to publish a groundbreaking report on tokenisation.

Tokenisation is the process of converting rights to an asset into a digital token on a blockchain. These tokens aren’t limited to digital currencies—they can represent real-world items: real estate, stocks, bonds, commodities, and even art or intellectual property. It provides liquidity in illiquid markets, accessibility in exclusive ones, and speed where bureaucracy used to reign.

According to the Ripple-BCG report, the tokenised asset market is projected to explode to $18.9 trillion by 2033. It includes everything from stablecoins to tokenised deposits, money market funds, corporate bonds, trade finance instruments, and more.

Three phases of tokenisation adoption

Tokenisation isn’t something that’s going to flip a switch and instantly take over global finance. It’s a process—one that’s happening in stages. Ripple and BCG outline three specific phases of adoption, each with its own goals, asset types, and infrastructure requirements.

  1. Phase One: This is the starter phase, and it’s all about institutional readiness. The focus in Phase One is to experiment in low-risk environments—primarily through pilot programmes that involve highly liquid, low-volatility assets such as money market funds and corporate bonds. BlackRock’s 2024 launch of its BUIDL tokenised money market fund is a textbook example of Phase One in action. This project isn’t trying to redefine the investment world just yet. Similarly, Singapore’s Project Guardian, spearheaded by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), brings together banks and asset managers to test asset tokenisation under regulatory oversight.
  2. Phase Two: Phase two introduces more complex assets like private credit, structured finance products, and corporate bonds. This stage is where things start getting interesting and profitable, and we can shift to blockchain architecture. This phase encourages a gradual shift towards permissioned public blockchains. These still have restrictions but offer more interoperability, scalability, and potential for integration with broader DeFi ecosystems.
  3. Phase Three: In Phase three, the types of assets being tokenised broaden dramatically to include private equity, hedge funds, infrastructure investments, and real estate-backed debt. These are big-ticket, illiquid assets that traditionally haven’t moved quickly or easily. Tokenisation flips that script by enabling fractional ownership, 24/7 trading, and better transparency. But none of that happens without one crucial element: secondary market liquidity.

The catalyst behind tokenised finance

One of the biggest hurdles in the early days of blockchain and digital assets was regulatory uncertainty. Everyone liked the tech, but no one knew how governments would treat it.

Countries like Switzerland, Singapore, and the UAE are rolling out comprehensive frameworks for tokenised assets. The EU’s MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) regulation is setting a new global standard. The US is catching up, and even more conservative jurisdictions are exploring sandbox environments. Clear rules encourage institutional investment. When banks, insurers, and asset managers know the playing field, they can start participating at scale. Compliance departments get the green light. Boards approve budgets. And capital flows into tokenisation initiatives.

Institutional adoption and strategic shifts

Back in 2022, BCG predicted tokenised assets would hit $16 trillion by 2030. However, in this newer 2024 forecast, that number is revised down to $9.4 trillion by 2030, and even that includes stablecoins. Strip those out, and you’re down to $6.4 trillion—just 40 percent of the original forecast.

In the past, blockchain pilots were mostly PR stunts. Today, they’re strategic imperatives. JPMorgan’s Kinexys has handled over $1.5 trillion in tokenised transactions. BlackRock has launched tokenised money market funds. HSBC is issuing tokenised green bonds.

Digital-native competitors are on the rise. Customers are demanding more. And regulators are giving the green light. If traditional players don’t adapt, they’ll be left behind. We’re now seeing Tier 1 banks investing in full-scale token platforms, acquiring crypto startups, building in-house custody, and partnering with fintechs to expand their tokenisation capabilities.

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